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Idol Watch: And Then There Were Five

FOX
AMERICAN IDOL: Siobhan Magnus sings her farewell performance after she is eliminated on AMERICAN IDOL airing Wednesday, April 28 (9:00-10:00 PM ET/ PT) on FOX. CR: Michael Becker / FOX.

Quick spoilers for last night’s American Idol elimination, after the jump:

Tuesday night, I suggested that Siobhan Magnus was testing the theory that Idol voters cast their ballots on the basis of the last thing they hear, because her performances had a pattern of starting off dull, then crescendoing to a big dramatic finish. That approach failed her this week; that, or viewers finally got tired of the formula.

Whatever you think of her singing, I was expecting Siobhan to go farther in the competition, simply because she’s so polarizing. At least anecdotally, she seemed to have people who really loved her and people who really hated her, and that’s an asset up to a point: I thought her core voters would carry her to third or fourth place.

So where do we go from here? I suspect Casey is not long for this world, but his bottom-three-mate Michael could go first. I continue to be puzzled, though, by the persistence of Aaron Kelly, and I welcome your theories. Maybe he occupies a solo niche as a country singer (he is one, right?), but I also suspect he inspires a kind of protectiveness in the audience. If he turns in a string of strong performances, I guess he could make it to the final, but can you really win this thing by making the audience want to adopt you?

Then again, there are no wrong reasons to vote for an American Idol, only reasons I disagree with. And there are plenty of those this season!

Incidentally, is there any show on TV that makes you more glad to have a DVR than an American Idol results show? I ended up zipping through what was an hourlong ad for the new Shrek movie and assorted other products in about five minutes. Ah, for the innocent days of the half-hour Idol elimination show.

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  • maleborn1957

    Much less annoying to Google Idol ten minutes after the show ends to learn who’s gotten the boot.

  • http://collegegradrealworld.net jtemplon

    I don’t know what’s going on with Aaron Kelly this season, but it’s worth noting that according to DialIdol he was #1 this week not Crystal Bowersox. (I think that’s the first time that’s happened on DialIdol this season.) When you factor in the fact that Kelly is probably the most likely to benefit from tweens texting in votes – if the rumors I hear about them doing such things are true – then you could have something like a David Archuleta effect. Though I think Kelly isn’t nearly as good as the little David was.

  • http://www.thesmogger.com Michael

    I can’t believe that Siobhan is gone – I guess the myth about country week taking out one of the biggest competitors each season has some truth to it. With only 5 people left, it’s harder to say who should go next – I don’t think it should be Casey even though America seems to be implying that. I’m gonna go out on a limb here…but Michael or Aaron? What do you think? http://thesmogger.com/2010/04/29/idol-hangover-the-final-five

  • grape_crush

    Tim Urban and Screech Kelly were basically splitting the tween vote…which prolly has now mostly gone over to Screech. Agree with the whole idea of an ‘Archuleta Effect’, btw.

    As for Siobhan, I have nothing against her, but her singing wasn’t as good as some of the other contestants.

    As for who goes next week, it will probably be Mike or Casey – no matter how well they do – unfortunately.

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