Tuned In

…And Now Conan Beats Dave (Among Youngsters) Without Showing Up

The late-night ratings for the week before last showed that a week of David Letterman reruns had beaten Conan O’Brien originals in total viewers, although the Conan originals still won in various categories of younger viewers. Last week, Conan was in reruns and Dave was in originals and… pretty much exactly the same thing happened: Dave won overall viewers, Conan won viewers under 55.

After the jump, a look at the numbers, which offer some good, bad and perplexing news for both camps:

* If Dave’s rerun win showed Conan hitting a ceiling among older viewers, Conan’s seems to show the same for Dave among younger viewers. When Dave was in reruns, he lost 18-to-34-year-old viewers 574,000 to 315,000; when Conan was in reruns, Dave lost the same group 598,000 to 336,000.

* The staticness of that figure, of course, is nothing for NBC to pop the champagne corks over, either. Making a week of original shows netted Conan 24,000 fewer viewers between 18 and 34 than in last week’s reruns. Conan’s margin over Dave in that group was actually 3,000 greater when Conan was in reruns.

* Thus Conan actually added young viewers among the 18-34 group while in reruns, and Dave added them the same week, when airing originals. Explanations for this phenomenon are welcomed. Perhaps Colbert viewers who decided to catch up on Conan episodes they’d missed earlier? (Shrugs.)

* In total viewers, Dave won his rerun week 2.95 million to 2.67 million. When Conan was in reruns last week, Dave increased his total-viewer margin, 3.4 million to 2.5 million. But Conan also won the advertiser sweet-spot group, adults 18 to 49, 1.28 million to 1.068 million.

* Incidentally, if you need any further evidence of how broadcast TV has declined as a mainstream medium: NBC’s The Tonight Show is now getting an audience of 2.5 million to 2.67 million, depending whether it’s in reruns. [Update: And yes, to be fair I realize I'm talking two weeks in August. It's still striking that the franchise is now, basically, niche programming.]

* As Bill Carter notes at the Media Decoder blog, the striking thing is how little difference it seems to make whether either show is in originals or not. Conan lost overall viewers by a much greater margin when in reruns, but the vast majority of the difference was made up by older viewers, whom advertisers don’t pay for. Maybe original episodes are overrated? Maybe each show should just bank several weeks of shows and then call it a season? I smell a new network cost-cutting measure—someone get Jeff Zucker on the phone!

Related Topics: conan o'brien, david letterman, TV Ratings, TV Ratings
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  • michaelboston80

    So after all of NBC’s late-night drama, it’s really going to be the same schedule (but 1 hr earlier), and Conan/Jay have new sets. Couldn’t they have just done that and left well enough alone? Jay would still get middle America with his bland, routine comedy, and Conan could keep his 1230AM edge and younger viewer-focus. I know he wanted to host ‘The Tonight Show’ as a brand, but it’s not 1975 anymore, he could have made Late Night into his own permanent brand, like Colbert.

    Great posts always JP, enjoy the blog every day!

  • http://www.bookhopping.wordpress.com Molly

    Regarding the added younger viewers…college has started again? 18-23 year olds are studying in front of TV rather than going out at night?

  • Tom Shaw

    There are simply more people watching TV now than earlier in the summer, and the additional numbers skew younger.

    Thus Conan sees increases, even in repeats – both because younger viewers prefer him, and, because they didn’t watch the shows the first time they aired, the reruns are new to them (heck, wasn’t that an NBC ad line a couple years back?).

    As far as why, the usual end of Summer phenomena – students are either in, or preparing to go back to, school; organized outdoor Summer activities are winding down; etc.
    Plus some medium-specific possibilities: the Fall season hasn’t started yet, so there are no Tivoed shows to catch up on; we’re in the dregs of the movie release schedule (games too, although many will switch to Madden soon); people had their interest in TV revitalized by the TCA tour.

    Not buying that last one, are you. Well, even critics need encouragement! Think of all the horrid screeners our host is wading through (see Melrose Place post below).

  • Rorschach

    I think Molly’s got it

  • Dave

    That or college students are drinking in front of the TV instead of out at bars.

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